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Future climate projections for the Mashreq region: methodology
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This report was prepared for the Regional Initiative for the Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources and Socio-Economic Vulnerability in the Arab Region (RICCAR). It documents climate modelling and analysis done by the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) to produce finer resolution climate projections over the Mashreq region.

Building upon the regional knowledge generated under RICCAR for the entire Arab region, SMHI has established the Mashreq Domain at 10 km grid resolution. Regional climate modelling (RCM) was performed to dynamically downscale global climate model (GCM) results and prepare a new ensemble of regional climate modelling projections for this domain. The aim was to provide outputs at finer resolution – including bias-adjusted variables – that can be used by regional researchers to inform further climate analysis in the Mashreq region.

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Categories: Technical Notes


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About Riccar


The central aim of this Regional Knowledge Hub is to provide access to information that can facilitate cooperation, coordination, dialogue and exchange among Arab States, organizations and stakeholder and to support awareness raising as well as regional networking and exchange on issues related to climate change and water resources in the region. Access to RICCAR assessment findings and associated datasets is being made available on this Regional Knowledge Hub, which is comprised of two open-access components: a website and a data portal. This online platform complements, and builds upon, the findings and processes already presented in the main report and its technical annex, as well as the series of publications that elaborate further on the work being pursued collectively under RICCAR.